AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom Stewart
Tom Stewart
Geelong · @ MEL
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
56% (9/16)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.8
L5
7.2
L10
6.5
High
9
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GCSMar 068FREMar 143ADEMar 262HAWApr 062WCEApr 125WBDApr 175PORApr 254NORMay 027COLMay 097BRIMay 146SYDMay 239CARMay 296ADEJun 047BRIJul 025GWSJul 119STKJul 16?MELJul 245.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom20.9
MEL382.0
Kicks
Tom15.1
MEL220.8
Marks
Tom5.0
MEL101.2
Tackles
Tom1.6
MEL51.0
Clearances
Tom0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Tom1.0
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Tom6.1
MEL129.3
Goals
Tom0.1
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.7(15)-0.7
Everywhere else5.3(44)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)1.8(5)-3.7
Dry games5.5(54)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.