Only 1 game in this filter — thin evidence, treat with care.
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Line Over Under
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Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear
Matchup Analyser
Percentile rankings · 2026
higher = more over-friendly
Rhysvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
17.0
64
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Rhys 17.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
8.0
44
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Rhys 8.0/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.0
29
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Rhys 3.0/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.0
76
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Rhys 3.0/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.0
84
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Rhys 3.0/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.0
91
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Rhys 4.0/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
8.0
87
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Rhys 8.0/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.0
0
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Rhys 0.0/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Rhys17.0
64
ESS402.2
100
Rhys 17.0/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Rhys8.0
Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.
ESS concede · Disposals
402.2per game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.
Venue split · Disposals
At Kardinia Park13.2(39)+1.3
Everywhere else11.9(76)
Since 2024, all stats real.
Wet vs dry · Disposals
Wet games (≥1mm)12.5(10)+0.2
Dry games12.3(105)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.
Similar players vs ESS · Disposals
Avg diff
+2.5
Avg diff %
+15%
Hit rate
7/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWHarry Morrison19.026+37%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick17.622+25%
07-25HAWOllie Greeves15.316+4%
07-25HAWDylan Moore18.623+24%
07-25HAWNoah Mraz15.017+13%
07-25HAWJosh Weddle16.619+15%
07-19GWSHarry Himmelberg17.416-8%
07-19GWSJayden Laverde15.116+6%
Similar = season average within ±2.5 of Rhys's. Computed from this app's own records.