P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Nick Murray
Nick Murray
Adelaide · @ ESS
4.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.3
L5
5.0
L10
4.3
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3COLMar 1410WBDMar 203GEEMar 261FREApr 031CARApr 096STKApr 185BRIApr 262RICMay 105WBDJun 117MELJun 20?ESSAug 024.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick12.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Nick9.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Nick4.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Nick2.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Nick0.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Nick1.2
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Nick3.8
ESS121.4
Goals
Nick0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands4.8(6)+1.4
Everywhere else3.4(68)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.3(8)-1.4
Dry games3.7(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.