P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Nick Murray
Nick Murray
Adelaide · @ ESS
3.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
50% (5/10)
enter odds to compare
Avg
3.7
L5
4.0
L10
3.7
High
5
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
5COLMar 143WBDMar 202GEEMar 263FREApr 034CARApr 093STKApr 185BRIApr 263RICMay 105WBDJun 114MELJun 20?ESSAug 023.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Nick12.7
ESS398.8
Kicks
Nick9.0
ESS232.6
Marks
Nick4.3
ESS116.9
Tackles
Nick2.0
ESS50.5
Clearances
Nick0.2
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Nick1.2
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Nick3.8
ESS121.4
Goals
Nick0.2
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands1.8(6)-1.2
Everywhere else3.0(68)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(8)-1.0
Dry games3.0(66)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.