Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

GEE

Mark OConnor

Geelong · @ COL

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

40% (6/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.9

5.2

L10

5.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Markvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

15.1Disposals389.3

7.9Kicks227.3

4.9Marks105.6

2.0Tackles48.4

1.0Clearances35.6

1.3Inside 50s55.2

4.9Contested Poss.128.0

0.2Goals11.6

Disposals

Mark15.1

COL389.3

Kicks

Mark7.9

COL227.3

Marks

Mark4.9

COL105.6

Tackles

Mark2.0

COL48.4

Clearances

Mark1.0

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Mark1.3

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Mark4.9

COL128.0

Goals

Mark0.2

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Marks

105.6per game · league avg 93.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.4.3(38)

Everywhere else4.3(117)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.0(12)-1.4

Dry games4.4(143)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.