Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Shannon Neale

Geelong · @ COL

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

33% (6/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.2

4.6

L10

4.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Shannonvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

10.4Disposals389.3

6.3Kicks227.3

4.2Marks105.6

2.6Tackles48.4

0.9Clearances35.6

2.4Inside 50s55.2

5.6Contested Poss.128.0

1.7Goals11.6

Disposals

Shannon10.4

COL389.3

Kicks

Shannon6.3

COL227.3

Marks

Shannon4.2

COL105.6

Tackles

Shannon2.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Shannon0.9

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Shannon2.4

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Shannon5.6

COL128.0

Goals

Shannon1.7

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Marks

105.6per game · league avg 93.0

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.3.6(14)-0.4

Everywhere else4.1(49)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.3(3)+0.4

Dry games4.0(60)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.