Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jake Kolodjashnij

Geelong · @ COL

5.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

36% (4/11)

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Avg

5.0

L10

5.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jakevs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

11.9Disposals389.3

6.9Kicks227.3

4.0Marks105.6

0.9Tackles48.4

0.1Clearances35.6

0.6Inside 50s55.2

3.5Contested Poss.128.0

0.1Goals11.6

Disposals

Jake11.9

COL389.3

Kicks

Jake6.9

COL227.3

Marks

Jake4.0

COL105.6

Tackles

Jake0.9

COL48.4

Clearances

Jake0.1

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Jake0.6

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Jake3.5

COL128.0

Goals

Jake0.1

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Handballs

162.1per game · league avg 155.5

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.2(35)-0.3

Everywhere else4.5(104)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.1(11)-1.4

Dry games4.5(128)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.