AFL
PProjectPunt
Lawson Humphries
Lawson Humphries
Geelong · @ MEL
5.5 HBO U
Hit rate
47% (8/17)
enter odds to compare
Avg
5.9
L5
5.2
L10
6.3
High
11
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
8GCSMar 0610FREMar 141ADEMar 263HAWApr 065WCEApr 125WBDApr 175PORApr 253NORMay 029COLMay 096BRIMay 1411SYDMay 238CARMay 294GCSJun 123FREJun 185BRIJul 028GWSJul 116STKJul 16?MELJul 245.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Lawson20.6
MEL382.0
Kicks
Lawson14.8
MEL220.8
Marks
Lawson5.7
MEL101.2
Tackles
Lawson2.4
MEL51.0
Clearances
Lawson0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Lawson2.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Lawson4.4
MEL129.3
Goals
Lawson0.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.5(14)-0.1
Everywhere else4.6(39)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)2.7(3)-2.1
Dry games4.7(50)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.