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© 2026 Project Punt · Every number is a real historical stat · Gamble responsibly · Credits
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See allaflThu 19:30WBD◄NOR◄Fri 19:40BRI◄HAW◄See allnrlThu 19:50GLD◄NQL◄Fri 20:00WAR◄PEN◄See allnblFinalSYD113◄ADL101◄See allhorsesR1 13:30Randwick8 racesSee alldogsR1 13:30Wentworth Park8 races
GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
Bailey SmithBailey SmithDI32.5Max HolmesMax HolmesDI29.5Gryan MiersGryan MiersDI21.5TBTanner BruhnDI21.5Tom StewartTom StewartDI21.5Lawson HumphriesLawson HumphriesDI20.5Tom AtkinsTom AtkinsDI18.5ODOliver DempseyDI18.5James WorpelJames WorpelDI18.5Jack BowesJack BowesDI17.5Rhys StanleyRhys StanleyDI17.5Shaun MannaghShaun MannaghDI16.5
Archie RobertsArchie RobertsDI29.5Zach MerrettZach MerrettDI27.5Darcy ParishDarcy ParishDI24.5Elijah TsatasElijah TsatasDI24.5Will SetterfieldWill Setterfield

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Bailey SmithBailey Smith32.5Max HolmesMax Holmes29.5Gryan MiersGryan Miers21.5TBTanner Bruhn21.5Tom StewartTom Stewart21.5Lawson HumphriesLawson Humphries20.5Tom Atkins
DI
21.5
Sam DurhamSam DurhamDI20.5
Andrew McGrathAndrew McGrathDI18.5
Mason RedmanMason RedmanDI18.5
JFJacob FarrowDI18.5
ZJZak JohnsonDI17.5
Jye CaldwellJye CaldwellDI17.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon PriorDI16.5
Tom Atkins
18.5
ODOliver Dempsey18.5
James WorpelJames Worpel18.5
Jack BowesJack Bowes17.5
Rhys StanleyRhys Stanley17.5
Shaun MannaghShaun Mannagh16.5
Archie RobertsArchie Roberts29.5
Zach MerrettZach Merrett27.5
Darcy ParishDarcy Parish24.5
Elijah TsatasElijah Tsatas24.5
Will SetterfieldWill Setterfield21.5
Sam DurhamSam Durham20.5
Andrew McGrathAndrew McGrath18.5
Mason RedmanMason Redman18.5
JFJacob Farrow18.5
ZJZak Johnson17.5
Jye CaldwellJye Caldwell17.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon Prior16.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Lawson Humphries
Lawson Humphries
Geelong · vs ESS
20.5 DIO —U —
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
20.6
L5
21.4
L10
22.7
High
33
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o20.5
16GCSMar 0622FREMar 1412ADEMar 2620HAWApr 0618WCEApr 1224WBDApr 1719PORApr 2512NORMay 0226COLMay 0922BRIMay 1433SYDMay 2321CARMay 2918GCSJun 1224FREJun 1816BRIJul 0222GWSJul 1126STKJul 1619MELJul 24?ESSAug 0820.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Lawsonvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
20.6
81
Disposalsfavorable
100
402.2
Lawson 20.6/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
14.7
93
Kicksfavorable
100
234.0
Lawson 14.7/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.8
88
Marksfavorable
100
118.6
Lawson 5.8/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.3
56
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Lawson 2.3/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.7
47
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Lawson 0.7/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.1
52
Inside 50sneutral
88
55.8
Lawson 2.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.4
41
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Lawson 4.4/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.2
35
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Lawson 0.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsfavorable
Lawson20.6
81
ESS402.2
100
Lawson 20.6/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksfavorable
Lawson14.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

402.2per game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Kardinia Park17.7(21)-0.2
Everywhere else17.9(33)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)13.0(3)-5.1
Dry games18.1(51)
Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.

Similar players vs ESS · Disposals

Avg diff
+2.3
Avg diff %
+12%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWCam Mackenzie20.523+12%
07-25HAWWill Day22.321-6%
07-25HAWJack Ginnivan19.620+2%
07-25HAWConnor Macdonald22.226+17%
07-25HAWJosh Battle21.0210%
07-25HAWMassimo DAmbrosio20.224+19%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick17.622+25%
07-25HAWDylan Moore18.623+24%
Similar = season average within ±3.1 of Lawson's. Computed from this app's own records.
93
ESS234.0
100
Lawson 14.7/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksfavorable
Lawson5.8
88
ESS118.6
100
Lawson 5.8/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Lawson2.3
56
ESS50.3
12
Lawson 2.3/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Lawson0.7
47
ESS33.6
18
Lawson 0.7/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sneutral
Lawson2.1
52
ESS55.8
88
Lawson 2.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Lawson4.4
41
ESS121.8
6
Lawson 4.4/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Lawson0.2
35
ESS15.2
94
Lawson 0.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded