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GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
JPJay PolkinghorneMK7.5COConnor OSullivanMK6.5Jeremy CameronJeremy CameronMK6.5Lawson HumphriesLawson HumphriesMK5.5Gryan MiersGryan MiersMK5.5ZGZach GuthrieMK5.5Tom StewartTom StewartMK5.5Max HolmesMax HolmesMK4.5MOMark OConnorMK4.5ODOliver DempseyMK4.5Jack HenryJack HenryMK4.5TBTanner BruhnMK4.5
JFJacob FarrowMK6.5JRJordan RidleyMK6.5Zach ReidZach ReidMK5.5Archie RobertsArchie RobertsMK5.5Angus ClarkeAngus ClarkeMK5.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

JPJay Polkinghorne7.5COConnor OSullivan6.5Jeremy CameronJeremy Cameron6.5Lawson HumphriesLawson Humphries5.5Gryan MiersGryan Miers5.5ZGZach Guthrie5.5Tom StewartTom Stewart
Mason RedmanMason RedmanMK5.5
Kyle LangfordKyle LangfordMK5.5
Archie PerkinsArchie PerkinsMK5.5
Xavier DuursmaXavier DuursmaMK4.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon PriorMK4.5
ZJZak JohnsonMK4.5
Zach MerrettZach MerrettMK4.5
5.5
Max HolmesMax Holmes4.5
MOMark OConnor4.5
ODOliver Dempsey4.5
Jack HenryJack Henry4.5
TBTanner Bruhn4.5
JFJacob Farrow6.5
JRJordan Ridley6.5
Zach ReidZach Reid5.5
Archie RobertsArchie Roberts5.5
Angus ClarkeAngus Clarke5.5
Mason RedmanMason Redman5.5
Kyle LangfordKyle Langford5.5
Archie PerkinsArchie Perkins5.5
Xavier DuursmaXavier Duursma4.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon Prior4.5
ZJZak Johnson4.5
Zach MerrettZach Merrett4.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Max Holmes
Max Holmes
Geelong · vs ESS
4.5 MKO —U —
Hit rate
56% (10/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
4.9
L5
4.0
L10
4.2
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o4.5
8GCSMar 067FREMar 145ADEMar 266HAWApr 064WCEApr 127WBDApr 175PORApr 254NORMay 024COLMay 096BRIMay 146SYDMay 233CARMay 293ADEJun 046GCSJun 123FREJun 183BRIJul 027GWSJul 111STKJul 16?ESSAug 084.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Maxvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
29.2
99
Disposalsfavorable
100
402.2
Max 29.2/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
17.1
98
Kicksfavorable
100
234.0
Max 17.1/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.9
74
Marksfavorable
100
118.6
Max 4.9/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.1
78
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Max 3.1/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
4.2
91
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Max 4.2/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
5.1
98
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Max 5.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
9.3
91
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Max 9.3/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.2
41
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Max 0.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsfavorable
Max29.2
99
ESS402.2
100
Max 29.2/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksfavorable
Max17.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

118.6per game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Kardinia Park4.9(46)+0.6
Everywhere else4.3(71)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)4.1(9)-0.4
Dry games4.6(108)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs ESS · Marks

Avg diff
+1.9
Avg diff %
+35%
Hit rate
8/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWMassimo DAmbrosio4.86+24%
07-25HAWOllie Greeves5.78+41%
07-25HAWTom Barrass4.46+35%
07-25HAWMabior Chol4.85+3%
07-25HAWWill Day3.75+35%
07-25HAWJack Ginnivan5.88+37%
07-25HAWBlake Hardwick6.28+29%
07-25HAWJack Gunston6.211+79%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Max's. Computed from this app's own records.
98
ESS234.0
100
Max 17.1/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksfavorable
Max4.9
74
ESS118.6
100
Max 4.9/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Max3.1
78
ESS50.3
12
Max 3.1/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Max4.2
91
ESS33.6
18
Max 4.2/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sfavorable
Max5.1
98
ESS55.8
88
Max 5.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Max9.3
91
ESS121.8
6
Max 9.3/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Max0.2
41
ESS15.2
94
Max 0.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded