AFL
PProjectPunt
Max Holmes
Max Holmes
Geelong · @ MEL
29.5 DIO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
29.2
L5
29.0
L10
29.4
High
35
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
29GCSMar 0632FREMar 1427ADEMar 2627HAWApr 0634WCEApr 1228WBDApr 1725PORApr 2529NORMay 0233COLMay 0926BRIMay 1435SYDMay 2325CARMay 2930ADEJun 0431GCSJun 1227FREJun 1830BRIJul 0234GWSJul 1123STKJul 16?MELJul 2429.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Max29.2
MEL382.0
Kicks
Max17.1
MEL220.8
Marks
Max4.9
MEL101.2
Tackles
Max3.1
MEL51.0
Clearances
Max4.2
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Max5.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Max9.3
MEL129.3
Goals
Max0.2
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Disposals

382.0per game · league avg 369.3
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.25.7(18)-1.1
Everywhere else26.8(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)27.2(5)+0.7
Dry games26.5(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.