AFL
PProjectPunt
GEE
Zach Guthrie
Geelong · @ MEL
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
50% (9/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.9
L5
3.6
L10
3.0
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
3GCSMar 062FREMar 144ADEMar 265HAWApr 062WCEApr 123WBDApr 173PORApr 251NORMay 021COLMay 092BRIMay 142SYDMay 232CARMay 295ADEJun 043GCSJun 120FREJun 188BRIJul 025GWSJul 112STKJul 16?MELJul 242.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zach16.0
MEL382.0
Kicks
Zach9.9
MEL220.8
Marks
Zach5.0
MEL101.2
Tackles
Zach2.9
MEL51.0
Clearances
Zach0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Zach1.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Zach4.1
MEL129.3
Goals
Zach0.1
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

51.0per game · league avg 56.9
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.2.0(18)-0.5
Everywhere else2.5(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.0(5)-0.4
Dry games2.4(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.