AFL
PProjectPunt
GEE
Zach Guthrie
Geelong · @ MEL
6.5 HBO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
6.1
L5
5.2
L10
5.7
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
9GCSMar 064FREMar 143ADEMar 2610HAWApr 064WCEApr 1210WBDApr 173PORApr 259NORMay 0210COLMay 093BRIMay 147SYDMay 237CARMay 294ADEJun 046GCSJun 126FREJun 187BRIJul 022GWSJul 115STKJul 16?MELJul 246.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Zach16.0
MEL382.0
Kicks
Zach9.9
MEL220.8
Marks
Zach5.0
MEL101.2
Tackles
Zach2.9
MEL51.0
Clearances
Zach0.6
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Zach1.1
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Zach4.1
MEL129.3
Goals
Zach0.1
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

161.2per game · league avg 155.5
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.6.1(18)+1.2
Everywhere else4.9(51)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)3.2(5)-2.2
Dry games5.4(64)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.