Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

GEE

Sam De Koning

Geelong · @ COL

14.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

35% (6/17)

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Avg

14.3

14.4

L10

15.2

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (7%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Samvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

14.3Disposals389.3

5.9Kicks227.3

3.7Marks105.6

1.5Tackles48.4

1.9Clearances35.6

1.5Inside 50s55.2

7.3Contested Poss.128.0

0.1Goals11.6

Disposals

Sam14.3

COL389.3

Kicks

Sam5.9

COL227.3

Marks

Sam3.7

COL105.6

Tackles

Sam1.5

COL48.4

Clearances

Sam1.9

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Sam1.5

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Sam7.3

COL128.0

Goals

Sam0.1

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Disposals

389.3per game · league avg 369.3

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.12.7(29)-0.7

Everywhere else13.5(73)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)11.0(7)-2.4

Dry games13.4(95)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.