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GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
Bailey SmithBailey SmithKI19.5Max HolmesMax HolmesKI17.5Tom StewartTom StewartKI15.5Lawson HumphriesLawson HumphriesKI14.5TBTanner BruhnKI12.5Gryan MiersGryan MiersKI12.5Shaun MannaghShaun MannaghKI11.5Jeremy CameronJeremy CameronKI11.5James WorpelJames WorpelKI10.5ZGZach GuthrieKI10.5Jack BowesJack BowesKI10.5COConnor OSullivanKI9.5
Archie RobertsArchie RobertsKI20.5Zach MerrettZach MerrettKI14.5Mason RedmanMason RedmanKI13.5Will SetterfieldWill SetterfieldKI12.5Darcy ParishDarcy Parish

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Bailey SmithBailey Smith19.5Max HolmesMax Holmes17.5Tom StewartTom Stewart15.5Lawson HumphriesLawson Humphries14.5TBTanner Bruhn12.5Gryan MiersGryan Miers12.5Shaun Mannagh
KI
12.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon PriorKI11.5
JFJacob FarrowKI11.5
Elijah TsatasElijah TsatasKI10.5
JRJordan RidleyKI10.5
ZJZak JohnsonKI10.5
Andrew McGrathAndrew McGrathKI9.5
Kyle LangfordKyle LangfordKI9.5
Shaun Mannagh
11.5
Jeremy CameronJeremy Cameron11.5
James WorpelJames Worpel10.5
ZGZach Guthrie10.5
Jack BowesJack Bowes10.5
COConnor OSullivan9.5
Archie RobertsArchie Roberts20.5
Zach MerrettZach Merrett14.5
Mason RedmanMason Redman13.5
Will SetterfieldWill Setterfield12.5
Darcy ParishDarcy Parish12.5
Jaxon PriorJaxon Prior11.5
JFJacob Farrow11.5
Elijah TsatasElijah Tsatas10.5
JRJordan Ridley10.5
ZJZak Johnson10.5
Andrew McGrathAndrew McGrath9.5
Kyle LangfordKyle Langford9.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, yesterday
Patrick Dangerfield
Patrick Dangerfield
Geelong · vs ESS
7.5 KIO —U —
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
7.7
L5
7.4
L10
8.9
High
18
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o7.5
3FREMar 1410WBDApr 171PORApr 254NORMay 028COLMay 097BRIMay 147SYDMay 237CARMay 2918ADEJun 0413GCSJun 129FREJun 1813BRIJul 025GWSJul 116STKJul 164MELJul 24?ESSAug 087.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 12.5°C☂ 1mm (47%)🌬 19.2 km/hWet ball risk

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Patrickvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
14.5
49
Disposalsneutral
100
402.2
Patrick 14.5/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
7.7
41
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Patrick 7.7/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.1
33
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Patrick 3.1/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.6
28
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Patrick 1.6/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.8
75
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Patrick 1.8/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.1
81
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Patrick 3.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
7.2
83
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Patrick 7.2/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.2
86
Goalsfavorable
94
15.2
Patrick 1.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Patrick14.5
49
ESS402.2
100
Patrick 14.5/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Patrick7.7

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

234.0per game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Kardinia Park11.6(51)-0.3
Everywhere else11.8(100)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)11.4(13)-0.4
Dry games11.8(138)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs ESS · Kicks

Avg diff
-0.9
Avg diff %
-10%
Hit rate
2/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWJosh Weddle8.97-22%
07-25HAWMabior Chol8.080%
07-25HAWOllie Greeves6.78+20%
07-25HAWNick Watson8.17-13%
07-19GWSJayden Laverde8.46-28%
07-19GWSSam Taylor6.910+45%
07-19GWSXavier OHalloran8.35-40%
07-19GWSAaron Cadman7.14-43%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Patrick's. Computed from this app's own records.
41
ESS234.0
100
Patrick 7.7/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Patrick3.1
33
ESS118.6
100
Patrick 3.1/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Patrick1.6
28
ESS50.3
12
Patrick 1.6/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Patrick1.8
75
ESS33.6
18
Patrick 1.8/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sfavorable
Patrick3.1
81
ESS55.8
88
Patrick 3.1/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Patrick7.2
83
ESS121.8
6
Patrick 7.2/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsfavorable
Patrick1.2
86
ESS15.2
94
Patrick 1.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded