Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Patrick Dangerfield

Geelong · @ COL

7.5 KIO —U —

Hit rate

43% (6/14)

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Avg

7.9

9.2

L10

9.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Patrickvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

14.7Disposals389.3

7.9Kicks227.3

3.2Marks105.6

1.6Tackles48.4

1.9Clearances35.6

3.2Inside 50s55.2

7.3Contested Poss.128.0

1.3Goals11.6

Disposals

Patrick14.7

COL389.3

Kicks

Patrick7.9

COL227.3

Marks

Patrick3.2

COL105.6

Tackles

Patrick1.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Patrick1.9

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Patrick3.2

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Patrick7.3

COL128.0

Goals

Patrick1.3

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Kicks

227.3per game · league avg 213.8

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.12.2(38)+0.5

Everywhere else11.7(112)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)11.4(13)-0.4

Dry games11.8(137)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.