AFL
PProjectPunt
Brad Close
Brad Close
Geelong · @ MEL
2.5 TKO U
Hit rate
36% (4/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.4
L5
3.2
L10
2.6
High
6
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GCSMar 062FREMar 142HAWApr 063WCEApr 122PORApr 251NORMay 020COLMay 096BRIMay 142SYDMay 235CARMay 293STKJul 16?MELJul 242.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Brad9.6
MEL382.0
Kicks
Brad4.6
MEL220.8
Marks
Brad2.1
MEL101.2
Tackles
Brad2.4
MEL51.0
Clearances
Brad0.2
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Brad2.4
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Brad3.2
MEL129.3
Goals
Brad0.7
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

51.0per game · league avg 56.9
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.1.9(18)-0.5
Everywhere else2.4(44)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.6(5)+0.3
Dry games2.3(57)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.