AFL
PProjectPunt
Brad Close
Brad Close
Geelong · @ MEL
0.5 GAO U
Hit rate
55% (6/11)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.6
L5
0.4
L10
0.7
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
0GCSMar 060FREMar 141HAWApr 061WCEApr 121PORApr 252NORMay 020COLMay 090BRIMay 141SYDMay 230CARMay 291STKJul 16?MELJul 240.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ MEL
Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-24 19:4011.3°C0mm (0%)🌬 16.3 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Brad9.6
MEL382.0
Kicks
Brad4.6
MEL220.8
Marks
Brad2.1
MEL101.2
Tackles
Brad2.4
MEL51.0
Clearances
Brad0.2
MEL35.6
Inside 50s
Brad2.4
MEL52.3
Contested poss.
Brad3.2
MEL129.3
Goals
Brad0.7
MEL13.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Goal Assists

10.3per game · league avg 9.3
#4 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At M.C.G.0.8(18)-0.2
Everywhere else1.0(44)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(5)
Dry games1.0(57)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.