Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Wayne Milera

Adelaide · @ ESS

9.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

38% (6/16)

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Avg

9.1

6.8

L10

8.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Waynevs all playersStatESS concedePer game

25.8Disposals398.8

16.7Kicks232.6

5.8Marks116.9

2.5Tackles50.5

1.3Clearances33.3

2.3Inside 50s55.1

6.4Contested Poss.121.4

0.1Goals15.0

Disposals

Wayne25.8

ESS398.8

Kicks

Wayne16.7

ESS232.6

Marks

Wayne5.8

ESS116.9

Tackles

Wayne2.5

ESS50.5

Clearances

Wayne1.3

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

Wayne2.3

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

Wayne6.4

ESS121.4

Goals

Wayne0.1

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Handballs

166.2per game · league avg 155.5

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands5.5(6)-1.8

Everywhere else7.3(90)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.1(9)-1.2

Dry games7.3(87)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.