Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

GEE

Tanner Bruhn

Geelong · @ COL

21.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

63% (10/16)

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Avg

21.1

19.0

L10

19.8

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tannervs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

21.1Disposals389.3

12.7Kicks227.3

4.3Marks105.6

3.3Tackles48.4

1.7Clearances35.6

3.8Inside 50s55.2

5.8Contested Poss.128.0

0.0Goals11.6

Disposals

Tanner21.1

COL389.3

Kicks

Tanner12.7

COL227.3

Marks

Tanner4.3

COL105.6

Tackles

Tanner3.3

COL48.4

Clearances

Tanner1.7

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Tanner3.8

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Tanner5.8

COL128.0

Goals

Tanner0.0

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Disposals

389.3per game · league avg 369.3

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.16.2(12)-2.6

Everywhere else18.8(40)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)20.3(3)+2.3

Dry games18.0(49)

Only 3 wet games on record — thin evidence.