Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Jack Bowes

Geelong · @ COL

7.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

56% (5/9)

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Avg

7.4

6.0

L10

7.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (4%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Jackvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

17.6Disposals389.3

10.1Kicks227.3

3.7Marks105.6

2.4Tackles48.4

1.0Clearances35.6

3.6Inside 50s55.2

5.3Contested Poss.128.0

0.8Goals11.6

Disposals

Jack17.6

COL389.3

Kicks

Jack10.1

COL227.3

Marks

Jack3.7

COL105.6

Tackles

Jack2.4

COL48.4

Clearances

Jack1.0

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Jack3.6

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Jack5.3

COL128.0

Goals

Jack0.8

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Handballs

162.1per game · league avg 155.5

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.5.5(20)-1.0

Everywhere else6.6(49)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)5.0(4)-1.4

Dry games6.4(65)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.