Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Mark Blicavs

Geelong · @ COL

13.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

43% (6/14)

enter odds to compare

Avg

13.2

14.0

L10

11.5

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ COL

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-07-30 19:30☁ 9.1°C☂ 0.3mm (7%)🌬 5.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Markvs all playersStatCOL concedePer game

13.2Disposals389.3

5.4Kicks227.3

2.6Marks105.6

2.6Tackles48.4

1.8Clearances35.6

1.2Inside 50s55.2

6.4Contested Poss.128.0

0.1Goals11.6

Disposals

Mark13.2

COL389.3

Kicks

Mark5.4

COL227.3

Marks

Mark2.6

COL105.6

Tackles

Mark2.6

COL48.4

Clearances

Mark1.8

COL35.6

Inside 50s

Mark1.2

COL55.2

Contested Poss.

Mark6.4

COL128.0

Goals

Mark0.1

COL11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

COL concede · Disposals

389.3per game · league avg 369.3

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At M.C.G.13.6(44)-1.0

Everywhere else14.7(132)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)14.2(15)-0.2

Dry games14.4(161)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.