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GEERound 22Sat 08-08 · 16:35ESS
Rhys StanleyRhys StanleyGA2.5Gryan MiersGryan MiersGA1.5Bailey SmithBailey SmithGA0.5Brad CloseBrad CloseGA0.5Max HolmesMax HolmesGA0.5Patrick DangerfieldPatrick DangerfieldGA0.5Shaun MannaghShaun MannaghGA0.5Shannon NealeShannon NealeGA0.5OHOliver HenryGA0.5Jack BowesJack BowesGA0.5TBTanner BruhnGA0.5Jeremy CameronJeremy CameronGA0.5
Brayden FioriniBrayden FioriniGA1.5Darcy ParishDarcy ParishGA0.5TETom EdwardsGA0.5Angus ClarkeAngus ClarkeGA0.5DSDyson SharpGA0.5

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Rhys StanleyRhys Stanley2.5Gryan MiersGryan Miers1.5Bailey SmithBailey Smith0.5Brad CloseBrad Close0.5Max HolmesMax Holmes0.5Patrick DangerfieldPatrick Dangerfield0.5
Nate CaddyNate CaddyGA0.5
Sam DurhamSam DurhamGA0.5
Jade GreshamJade GreshamGA0.5
Andrew McGrathAndrew McGrathGA0.5
Mason RedmanMason RedmanGA0.5
Zach MerrettZach MerrettGA0.5
Archie RobertsArchie RobertsGA0.5
Shaun Mannagh
Shaun Mannagh
0.5
Shannon NealeShannon Neale0.5
OHOliver Henry0.5
Jack BowesJack Bowes0.5
TBTanner Bruhn0.5
Jeremy CameronJeremy Cameron0.5
Brayden FioriniBrayden Fiorini1.5
Darcy ParishDarcy Parish0.5
TETom Edwards0.5
Angus ClarkeAngus Clarke0.5
DSDyson Sharp0.5
Nate CaddyNate Caddy0.5
Sam DurhamSam Durham0.5
Jade GreshamJade Gresham0.5
Andrew McGrathAndrew McGrath0.5
Mason RedmanMason Redman0.5
Zach MerrettZach Merrett0.5
Archie RobertsArchie Roberts0.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Tom Atkins
Tom Atkins
Geelong · vs ESS
0.5 GAO —U —
Hit rate
42% (8/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
0.4
L5
0.6
L10
0.5
High
1
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o0.5
0GCSMar 060FREMar 140ADEMar 261HAWApr 061WCEApr 120WBDApr 171PORApr 250NORMay 020COLMay 090BRIMay 140SYDMay 230CARMay 291ADEJun 041GCSJun 121FREJun 181BRIJul 020GWSJul 110STKJul 161MELJul 24?ESSAug 080.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsKardinia Park · GeelongRound 22 · 2026-08-08 16:35☁ 11.2°C☂ 0.6mm (41%)🌬 20.8 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Tomvs all playersStatESS concedePer game
18.8
74
Disposalsfavorable
100
402.2
Tom 18.8/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
7.6
39
Kicksneutral
100
234.0
Tom 7.6/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.5
3
Marksneutral
100
118.6
Tom 1.5/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.2
99
Tacklesunfavorable
12
50.3
Tom 6.2/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.8
88
Clearancesunfavorable
18
33.6
Tom 3.8/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.9
76
Inside 50sfavorable
88
55.8
Tom 2.9/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
10.1
95
Contested Poss.unfavorable
6
121.8
Tom 10.1/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.2
39
Goalsneutral
94
15.2
Tom 0.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsfavorable
Tom18.8
74
ESS402.2
100
Tom 18.8/game
ESS concedes 402.2/game · league avg 369.6
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Tom7.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.8per game · league avg 9.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Kardinia Park0.3(60)-0.1
Everywhere else0.4(112)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(12)+0.1
Dry games0.4(160)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs ESS · Goal Assists

Avg diff
+0.4
Avg diff %
+27%
Hit rate
6/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-25HAWDylan Moore1.62+22%
07-25HAWHarry Morrison1.52+33%
07-25HAWCam Mackenzie1.62+27%
07-25HAWLloyd Meek1.010%
07-25HAWOllie Greeves1.52+33%
07-25HAWMabior Chol1.42+45%
07-25HAWJarman Impey1.22+71%
07-25HAWJai Newcombe1.21-14%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Tom's. Computed from this app's own records.
39
ESS234.0
100
Tom 7.6/game
ESS concedes 234.0/game · league avg 213.9
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Tom1.5
3
ESS118.6
100
Tom 1.5/game
ESS concedes 118.6/game · league avg 93.5
#1 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Tom6.2
99
ESS50.3
12
Tom 6.2/game
ESS concedes 50.3/game · league avg 56.5
#16 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesunfavorable
Tom3.8
88
ESS33.6
18
Tom 3.8/game
ESS concedes 33.6/game · league avg 35.7
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sfavorable
Tom2.9
76
ESS55.8
88
Tom 2.9/game
ESS concedes 55.8/game · league avg 52.9
#3 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.unfavorable
Tom10.1
95
ESS121.8
6
Tom 10.1/game
ESS concedes 121.8/game · league avg 128.8
#17 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Tom0.2
39
ESS15.2
94
Tom 0.2/game
ESS concedes 15.2/game · league avg 12.8
#2 of 18 clubs most conceded