Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Luke Ryan

Fremantle · vs WBD

20.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

59% (10/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

20.5

19.6

L10

20.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (38%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

20.5Disposals388.2

15.7Kicks229.6

7.1Marks106.7

1.5Tackles61.2

0.3Clearances35.7

1.4Inside 50s54.1

3.6Contested Poss.132.4

0.0Goals12.6

Disposals

Luke20.5

WBD388.2

Kicks

Luke15.7

WBD229.6

Marks

Luke7.1

WBD106.7

Tackles

Luke1.5

WBD61.2

Clearances

Luke0.3

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Luke1.4

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Luke3.6

WBD132.4

Goals

Luke0.0

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Disposals

388.2per game · league avg 369.3

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Perth Stadium22.4(87)+1.5

Everywhere else20.9(78)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)22.0(11)+0.4

Dry games21.6(154)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.