Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Alex Pearce

Fremantle · vs WBD

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

31% (5/16)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.0

4.8

L10

4.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Alexvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

8.7Disposals388.2

4.6Kicks229.6

4.0Marks106.7

1.0Tackles61.2

0.1Clearances35.7

0.4Inside 50s54.1

4.8Contested Poss.132.4

0.0Goals12.6

Disposals

Alex8.7

WBD388.2

Kicks

Alex4.6

WBD229.6

Marks

Alex4.0

WBD106.7

Tackles

Alex1.0

WBD61.2

Clearances

Alex0.1

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Alex0.4

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Alex4.8

WBD132.4

Goals

Alex0.0

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Marks

106.7per game · league avg 93.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Perth Stadium4.3(57)+0.5

Everywhere else3.8(55)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)3.8(5)-0.3

Dry games4.1(107)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.