Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Matthew Johnson

Fremantle · vs WBD

2.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

59% (10/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

2.6

3.6

L10

3.1

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Matthewvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

16.8Disposals388.2

7.1Kicks229.6

2.6Marks106.7

3.1Tackles61.2

2.4Clearances35.7

2.8Inside 50s54.1

5.3Contested Poss.132.4

0.2Goals12.6

Disposals

Matthew16.8

WBD388.2

Kicks

Matthew7.1

WBD229.6

Marks

Matthew2.6

WBD106.7

Tackles

Matthew3.1

WBD61.2

Clearances

Matthew2.4

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Matthew2.8

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Matthew5.3

WBD132.4

Goals

Matthew0.2

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Marks

106.7per game · league avg 93.0

#3 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Perth Stadium3.8(39)+0.8

Everywhere else3.0(33)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.5(4)-1.0

Dry games3.5(68)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.