Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Luke Jackson

Fremantle · vs WBD

5.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

44% (8/18)

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Avg

5.1

5.0

L10

4.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Lukevs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

18.6Disposals388.2

7.1Kicks229.6

2.7Marks106.7

5.1Tackles61.2

4.7Clearances35.7

2.5Inside 50s54.1

11.2Contested Poss.132.4

1.1Goals12.6

Disposals

Luke18.6

WBD388.2

Kicks

Luke7.1

WBD229.6

Marks

Luke2.7

WBD106.7

Tackles

Luke5.1

WBD61.2

Clearances

Luke4.7

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Luke2.5

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Luke11.2

WBD132.4

Goals

Luke1.1

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Tackles

61.2per game · league avg 56.9

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Perth Stadium4.0(46)+0.2

Everywhere else3.8(39)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)4.7(6)+0.8

Dry games3.8(79)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.