Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Rory Laird

Adelaide · @ ESS

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

33% (5/15)

enter odds to compare

Avg

0.3

0.6

L10

0.3

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

for Round 21 @ ESS

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Roryvs all playersStatESS concedePer game

24.0Disposals398.8

13.9Kicks232.6

6.8Marks116.9

2.4Tackles50.5

1.1Clearances33.3

1.7Inside 50s55.1

5.4Contested Poss.121.4

0.0Goals15.0

Disposals

Rory24.0

ESS398.8

Kicks

Rory13.9

ESS232.6

Marks

Rory6.8

ESS116.9

Tackles

Rory2.4

ESS50.5

Clearances

Rory1.1

ESS33.3

Inside 50s

Rory1.7

ESS55.1

Contested Poss.

Rory5.4

ESS121.4

Goals

Rory0.0

ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goal Assists

11.6per game · league avg 9.3

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.9(15)+0.6

Everywhere else0.4(148)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.3(11)-0.1

Dry games0.4(152)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.