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MELRound 22Sat 08-08 · 13:15FRE
Andrew BrayshawAndrew BrayshawTK6.5Luke JacksonLuke JacksonTK5.5Caleb SerongCaleb SerongTK4.5Shai BoltonShai BoltonTK3.5Matthew JohnsonMatthew JohnsonTK3.5PVPatrick VossTK3.5Isaiah DudleyIsaiah DudleyTK3.5Neil ErasmusNeil ErasmusTK2.5Sam SwitkowskiSam SwitkowskiTK2.5JOJaeger OMearaTK2.5Hayden YoungHayden YoungTK2.5Corey WagnerCorey WagnerTK2.5
Tom SparrowTom SparrowTK6.5Jack SteeleJack SteeleTK6.5Kysaiah PickettKysaiah PickettTK4.5Kade ChandlerKade ChandlerTK4.5AJAidan JohnsonTK

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Andrew BrayshawAndrew Brayshaw6.5Luke JacksonLuke Jackson5.5Caleb SerongCaleb Serong4.5Shai BoltonShai Bolton3.5Matthew JohnsonMatthew Johnson3.5PVPatrick Voss3.5
4.5
Joel FitzgeraldJoel FitzgeraldTK3.5
Paddy CrossPaddy CrossTK2.5
Caleb WindsorCaleb WindsorTK2.5
HPHarry PettyTK2.5
Andy Moniz-WakefieldAndy Moniz-WakefieldTK2.5
XTXavier TaylorTK2.5
Harry SharpHarry SharpTK2.5
Isaiah Dudley
Isaiah Dudley
3.5
Neil ErasmusNeil Erasmus2.5
Sam SwitkowskiSam Switkowski2.5
JOJaeger OMeara2.5
Hayden YoungHayden Young2.5
Corey WagnerCorey Wagner2.5
Tom SparrowTom Sparrow6.5
Jack SteeleJack Steele6.5
Kysaiah PickettKysaiah Pickett4.5
Kade ChandlerKade Chandler4.5
AJAidan Johnson4.5
Joel FitzgeraldJoel Fitzgerald3.5
Paddy CrossPaddy Cross2.5
Caleb WindsorCaleb Windsor2.5
HPHarry Petty2.5
Andy Moniz-WakefieldAndy Moniz-Wakefield2.5
XTXavier Taylor2.5
Harry SharpHarry Sharp2.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Neil Erasmus
Neil Erasmus
Fremantle · @ MEL
2.5 TKO —U —
Hit rate
42% (8/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.8
L5
2.4
L10
3.6
High
10
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o2.5
0GEEMar 142MELMar 212RICMar 283ADEApr 031COLApr 105WCEApr 190CARApr 254WBDMay 011HAWMay 075ESSMay 17☂5STKMay 222BRIMay 3010NORJun 062GEEJun 184GCSJun 280GWSJul 042SYDJul 094PORJul 182WCEJul 24?MELAug 082.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-08 13:15☁ 12.5°C☂ 0mm (31%)🌬 24.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Neilvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
17.7
69
Disposalsneutral
76
381.6
Neil 17.7/game
MEL concedes 381.6/game · league avg 369.6
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
8.8
54
Kicksneutral
76
221.2
Neil 8.8/game
MEL concedes 221.2/game · league avg 213.9
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.8
51
Marksneutral
71
101.8
Neil 3.8/game
MEL concedes 101.8/game · league avg 93.5
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.8
74
Tacklesunfavorable
18
50.7
Neil 2.8/game
MEL concedes 50.7/game · league avg 56.5
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.8
74
Clearancesneutral
53
35.5
Neil 1.8/game
MEL concedes 35.5/game · league avg 35.7
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.5
67
Inside 50sneutral
41
52.8
Neil 2.5/game
MEL concedes 52.8/game · league avg 52.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.4
77
Contested Poss.favorable
65
129.2
Neil 6.4/game
MEL concedes 129.2/game · league avg 128.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.4
53
Goalsneutral
65
13.3
Neil 0.4/game
MEL concedes 13.3/game · league avg 12.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Neil17.7
69
MEL381.6
76
Neil 17.7/game
MEL concedes 381.6/game · league avg 369.6
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Neil8.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Tackles

50.7per game · league avg 56.5
#15 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At M.C.G.4.8(4)+2.1
Everywhere else2.6(53)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)5.0(4)+2.4
Dry games2.6(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs MEL · Tackles

Avg diff
-0.2
Avg diff %
-12%
Hit rate
3/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-24GEEJack Henry1.52+33%
07-24GEEPatrick Dangerfield1.82+8%
07-24GEEMitchell Edwards2.12-3%
07-24GEEOliver Dempsey1.71-42%
07-24GEETanner Bruhn3.33-9%
07-24GEEJhye Clark2.01-50%
07-24GEEMark Blicavs2.83+8%
07-24GEEOliver Henry1.71-41%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Neil's. Computed from this app's own records.
54
MEL221.2
76
Neil 8.8/game
MEL concedes 221.2/game · league avg 213.9
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Neil3.8
51
MEL101.8
71
Neil 3.8/game
MEL concedes 101.8/game · league avg 93.5
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Neil2.8
74
MEL50.7
18
Neil 2.8/game
MEL concedes 50.7/game · league avg 56.5
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesneutral
Neil1.8
74
MEL35.5
53
Neil 1.8/game
MEL concedes 35.5/game · league avg 35.7
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sneutral
Neil2.5
67
MEL52.8
41
Neil 2.5/game
MEL concedes 52.8/game · league avg 52.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.favorable
Neil6.4
77
MEL129.2
65
Neil 6.4/game
MEL concedes 129.2/game · league avg 128.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Neil0.4
53
MEL13.3
65
Neil 0.4/game
MEL concedes 13.3/game · league avg 12.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded