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MELRound 22Sat 08-08 · 13:15FRE
Luke RyanLuke RyanKI15.5Jordan ClarkJordan ClarkKI14.5Caleb SerongCaleb SerongKI13.5Murphy ReidMurphy ReidKI12.5Shai BoltonShai BoltonKI12.5Karl WornerKarl WornerKI11.5Andrew BrayshawAndrew BrayshawKI11.5Corey WagnerCorey WagnerKI11.5Hayden YoungHayden YoungKI9.5Heath ChapmanHeath ChapmanKI9.5Neil ErasmusNeil ErasmusKI8.5Josh TreacyJosh TreacyKI8.5
Jake BoweyJake BoweyKI17.5Christian SalemChristian SalemKI16.5Kysaiah PickettKysaiah PickettKI16.5Tom SparrowTom SparrowKI12.5Trent RiversTrent Rivers

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Luke RyanLuke Ryan15.5Jordan ClarkJordan Clark14.5Caleb SerongCaleb Serong13.5Murphy ReidMurphy Reid12.5Shai BoltonShai Bolton12.5Karl WornerKarl Worner
KI
11.5
Xavier LindsayXavier LindsayKI11.5
Ed LangdonEd LangdonKI11.5
Koltyn TholstrupKoltyn TholstrupKI10.5
Jake LeverJake LeverKI10.5
Max GawnMax GawnKI10.5
Daniel TurnerDaniel TurnerKI9.5
Joel FitzgeraldJoel FitzgeraldKI9.5
11.5
Andrew BrayshawAndrew Brayshaw11.5
Corey WagnerCorey Wagner11.5
Hayden YoungHayden Young9.5
Heath ChapmanHeath Chapman9.5
Neil ErasmusNeil Erasmus8.5
Josh TreacyJosh Treacy8.5
Jake BoweyJake Bowey17.5
Christian SalemChristian Salem16.5
Kysaiah PickettKysaiah Pickett16.5
Tom SparrowTom Sparrow12.5
Trent RiversTrent Rivers11.5
Xavier LindsayXavier Lindsay11.5
Ed LangdonEd Langdon11.5
Koltyn TholstrupKoltyn Tholstrup10.5
Jake LeverJake Lever10.5
Max GawnMax Gawn10.5
Daniel TurnerDaniel Turner9.5
Joel FitzgeraldJoel Fitzgerald9.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, today
Neil Erasmus
Neil Erasmus
Fremantle · @ MEL
8.5 KIO —U —
Hit rate
53% (10/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.8
L5
8.2
L10
8.5
High
13
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o8.5
12GEEMar 148MELMar 216RICMar 289ADEApr 0310COLApr 1010WCEApr 198CARApr 2511WBDMay 019HAWMay 0713ESSMay 17☂7STKMay 224BRIMay 308NORJun 0612GEEJun 188GCSJun 286GWSJul 0411SYDJul 0910PORJul 186WCEJul 24?MELAug 088.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-08 13:15☁ 12.5°C☂ 0mm (31%)🌬 24.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Neilvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
17.7
69
Disposalsneutral
76
381.6
Neil 17.7/game
MEL concedes 381.6/game · league avg 369.6
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
8.8
54
Kicksneutral
76
221.2
Neil 8.8/game
MEL concedes 221.2/game · league avg 213.9
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.8
51
Marksneutral
71
101.8
Neil 3.8/game
MEL concedes 101.8/game · league avg 93.5
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.8
74
Tacklesunfavorable
18
50.7
Neil 2.8/game
MEL concedes 50.7/game · league avg 56.5
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.8
74
Clearancesneutral
53
35.5
Neil 1.8/game
MEL concedes 35.5/game · league avg 35.7
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.5
67
Inside 50sneutral
41
52.8
Neil 2.5/game
MEL concedes 52.8/game · league avg 52.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.4
77
Contested Poss.favorable
65
129.2
Neil 6.4/game
MEL concedes 129.2/game · league avg 128.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.4
53
Goalsneutral
65
13.3
Neil 0.4/game
MEL concedes 13.3/game · league avg 12.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Neil17.7
69
MEL381.6
76
Neil 17.7/game
MEL concedes 381.6/game · league avg 369.6
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Neil8.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Kicks

221.2per game · league avg 213.9
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At M.C.G.8.5(4)+1.1
Everywhere else7.4(53)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)9.8(4)+2.5
Dry games7.3(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs MEL · Kicks

Avg diff
+0.6
Avg diff %
+5%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-24GEEMark OConnor7.86-23%
07-24GEEConnor OSullivan9.811+12%
07-24GEEZach Guthrie10.316+56%
07-24GEEOliver Dempsey9.311+18%
07-24GEEPatrick Dangerfield7.74-48%
07-24GEEJhye Clark8.410+19%
07-24GEETom Atkins7.68+6%
07-24GEEJay Polkinghorne9.090%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Neil's. Computed from this app's own records.
54
MEL221.2
76
Neil 8.8/game
MEL concedes 221.2/game · league avg 213.9
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Neil3.8
51
MEL101.8
71
Neil 3.8/game
MEL concedes 101.8/game · league avg 93.5
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Neil2.8
74
MEL50.7
18
Neil 2.8/game
MEL concedes 50.7/game · league avg 56.5
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesneutral
Neil1.8
74
MEL35.5
53
Neil 1.8/game
MEL concedes 35.5/game · league avg 35.7
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sneutral
Neil2.5
67
MEL52.8
41
Neil 2.5/game
MEL concedes 52.8/game · league avg 52.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.favorable
Neil6.4
77
MEL129.2
65
Neil 6.4/game
MEL concedes 129.2/game · league avg 128.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Neil0.4
53
MEL13.3
65
Neil 0.4/game
MEL concedes 13.3/game · league avg 12.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded