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MELRound 22Sat 08-08 · 13:15FRE
Andrew BrayshawAndrew BrayshawHB13.5Caleb SerongCaleb SerongHB11.5Luke JacksonLuke JacksonHB11.5Shai BoltonShai BoltonHB11.5Murphy ReidMurphy ReidHB11.5NONathan ODriscollHB10.5Matthew JohnsonMatthew JohnsonHB10.5Neil ErasmusNeil ErasmusHB8.5Hayden YoungHayden YoungHB8.5JOJaeger OMearaHB8.5CSChris ScerriHB8.5Jordan ClarkJordan ClarkHB7.5
Jack SteeleJack SteeleHB14.5Joel FitzgeraldJoel FitzgeraldHB11.5Max GawnMax GawnHB10.5Tom SparrowTom SparrowHB9.5Ed LangdonEd Langdon

Line shown = half-line nearest season avg. Bring the real one from your bookie.

Andrew BrayshawAndrew Brayshaw13.5Caleb SerongCaleb Serong11.5Luke JacksonLuke Jackson11.5Shai BoltonShai Bolton11.5Murphy ReidMurphy Reid11.5NONathan ODriscoll10.5
HB
9.5
Harvey LangfordHarvey LangfordHB8.5
Trent RiversTrent RiversHB8.5
Kade ChandlerKade ChandlerHB7.5
Blake HowesBlake HowesHB7.5
Jake BoweyJake BoweyHB7.5
Caleb WindsorCaleb WindsorHB6.5
Kysaiah PickettKysaiah PickettHB6.5
Matthew Johnson
Matthew Johnson
10.5
Neil ErasmusNeil Erasmus8.5
Hayden YoungHayden Young8.5
JOJaeger OMeara8.5
CSChris Scerri8.5
Jordan ClarkJordan Clark7.5
Jack SteeleJack Steele14.5
Joel FitzgeraldJoel Fitzgerald11.5
Max GawnMax Gawn10.5
Tom SparrowTom Sparrow9.5
Ed LangdonEd Langdon9.5
Harvey LangfordHarvey Langford8.5
Trent RiversTrent Rivers8.5
Kade ChandlerKade Chandler7.5
Blake HowesBlake Howes7.5
Jake BoweyJake Bowey7.5
Caleb WindsorCaleb Windsor6.5
Kysaiah PickettKysaiah Pickett6.5
DisposalsKicksMarksHandballsGoalsTacklesHitoutsClearancesGoal AssistsMarks Inside 50
Current to Round 21, yesterday
Neil Erasmus
Neil Erasmus
Fremantle · @ MEL
8.5 HBO —U —
Hit rate
47% (9/19)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.8
L5
8.8
L10
9.2
High
15
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
Splits · o8.5
9GEEMar 1413MELMar 2115RICMar 2812ADEApr 038COLApr 103WCEApr 197CARApr 254WBDMay 015HAWMay 075ESSMay 17☂8STKMay 229BRIMay 3014NORJun 0612GEEJun 1812GCSJun 284GWSJul 048SYDJul 0912PORJul 188WCEJul 24?MELAug 088.5
Line Over Under

Tap a bar for full game detail · newest on the right

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 22 · 2026-08-08 13:15☁ 12.5°C☂ 0mm (31%)🌬 24.2 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Neilvs all playersStatMEL concedePer game
17.7
69
Disposalsneutral
76
381.6
Neil 17.7/game
MEL concedes 381.6/game · league avg 369.6
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
8.8
54
Kicksneutral
76
221.2
Neil 8.8/game
MEL concedes 221.2/game · league avg 213.9
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
3.8
51
Marksneutral
71
101.8
Neil 3.8/game
MEL concedes 101.8/game · league avg 93.5
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.8
74
Tacklesunfavorable
18
50.7
Neil 2.8/game
MEL concedes 50.7/game · league avg 56.5
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
1.8
74
Clearancesneutral
53
35.5
Neil 1.8/game
MEL concedes 35.5/game · league avg 35.7
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
2.5
67
Inside 50sneutral
41
52.8
Neil 2.5/game
MEL concedes 52.8/game · league avg 52.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
6.4
77
Contested Poss.favorable
65
129.2
Neil 6.4/game
MEL concedes 129.2/game · league avg 128.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
0.4
53
Goalsneutral
65
13.3
Neil 0.4/game
MEL concedes 13.3/game · league avg 12.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
Disposalsneutral
Neil17.7
69
MEL381.6
76
Neil 17.7/game
MEL concedes 381.6/game · league avg 369.6
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
Kicksneutral
Neil8.8

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

MEL concede · Handballs

160.5per game · league avg 155.7
#5 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.7.5(4)
Everywhere else7.5(53)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)6.5(4)-1.0
Dry games7.5(53)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.

Similar players vs MEL · Handballs

Avg diff
+0.4
Avg diff %
+6%
Hit rate
5/8
beat their own average
DateTeamPlayerAvgResultDiff
07-24GEEGryan Miers9.44-57%
07-24GEETanner Bruhn8.713+49%
07-24GEEJhye Clark7.49+22%
07-24GEEOliver Dempsey9.54-58%
07-24GEEMark Blicavs8.36-28%
07-18NORBailey Scott7.510+33%
07-18NORCaleb Daniel9.413+38%
07-18NORColby McKercher8.513+52%
Similar = season average within ±1.5 of Neil's. Computed from this app's own records.
54
MEL221.2
76
Neil 8.8/game
MEL concedes 221.2/game · league avg 213.9
#5 of 18 clubs most conceded
Marksneutral
Neil3.8
51
MEL101.8
71
Neil 3.8/game
MEL concedes 101.8/game · league avg 93.5
#6 of 18 clubs most conceded
Tacklesunfavorable
Neil2.8
74
MEL50.7
18
Neil 2.8/game
MEL concedes 50.7/game · league avg 56.5
#15 of 18 clubs most conceded
Clearancesneutral
Neil1.8
74
MEL35.5
53
Neil 1.8/game
MEL concedes 35.5/game · league avg 35.7
#9 of 18 clubs most conceded
Inside 50sneutral
Neil2.5
67
MEL52.8
41
Neil 2.5/game
MEL concedes 52.8/game · league avg 52.9
#10 of 18 clubs most conceded
Contested Poss.favorable
Neil6.4
77
MEL129.2
65
Neil 6.4/game
MEL concedes 129.2/game · league avg 128.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded
Goalsneutral
Neil0.4
53
MEL13.3
65
Neil 0.4/game
MEL concedes 13.3/game · league avg 12.8
#7 of 18 clubs most conceded