Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Neil Erasmus

Fremantle · vs WBD

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

56% (10/18)

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Avg

0.6

0.8

L10

0.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (45%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Neilvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

17.9Disposals388.2

9.0Kicks229.6

4.0Marks106.7

2.9Tackles61.2

1.8Clearances35.7

2.6Inside 50s54.1

6.3Contested Poss.132.4

0.4Goals12.6

Disposals

Neil17.9

WBD388.2

Kicks

Neil9.0

WBD229.6

Marks

Neil4.0

WBD106.7

Tackles

Neil2.9

WBD61.2

Clearances

Neil1.8

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Neil2.6

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Neil6.3

WBD132.4

Goals

Neil0.4

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Goal Assists

8.8per game · league avg 9.3

#13 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Perth Stadium0.3(32)-0.2

Everywhere else0.5(24)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.5(4)+0.2

Dry games0.3(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.