Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Neil Erasmus

Fremantle · vs WBD

17.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

61% (11/18)

enter odds to compare

Avg

17.9

19.0

L10

17.7

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 15.2°C☂ 0.6mm (38%)🌬 5.5 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Neilvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

17.9Disposals388.2

9.0Kicks229.6

4.0Marks106.7

2.9Tackles61.2

1.8Clearances35.7

2.6Inside 50s54.1

6.3Contested Poss.132.4

0.4Goals12.6

Disposals

Neil17.9

WBD388.2

Kicks

Neil9.0

WBD229.6

Marks

Neil4.0

WBD106.7

Tackles

Neil2.9

WBD61.2

Clearances

Neil1.8

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Neil2.6

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Neil6.3

WBD132.4

Goals

Neil0.4

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Disposals

388.2per game · league avg 369.3

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Perth Stadium14.7(32)-0.4

Everywhere else15.2(24)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)16.3(4)+1.4

Dry games14.8(52)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.