Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Willem Duursma

West Coast · @ RIC

4.5 MKO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

enter odds to compare

Avg

4.4

2.4

L10

3.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Willemvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

18.0Disposals391.8

10.6Kicks224.9

4.4Marks107.6

3.6Tackles53.8

2.3Clearances33.7

3.4Inside 50s56.5

6.8Contested Poss.129.3

0.8Goals15.3

Disposals

Willem18.0

RIC391.8

Kicks

Willem10.6

RIC224.9

Marks

Willem4.4

RIC107.6

Tackles

Willem3.6

RIC53.8

Clearances

Willem2.3

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Willem3.4

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Willem6.8

RIC129.3

Goals

Willem0.8

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Marks

107.6per game · league avg 93.0

#2 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At M.C.G.4.0(1)-0.4

Everywhere else4.4(16)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)7.0(1)+2.8

Dry games4.2(16)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.