Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Willem Duursma

West Coast · @ RIC

7.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

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Avg

7.4

7.6

L10

8.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Willemvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

18.0Disposals391.8

10.6Kicks224.9

4.4Marks107.6

3.6Tackles53.8

2.3Clearances33.7

3.4Inside 50s56.5

6.8Contested Poss.129.3

0.8Goals15.3

Disposals

Willem18.0

RIC391.8

Kicks

Willem10.6

RIC224.9

Marks

Willem4.4

RIC107.6

Tackles

Willem3.6

RIC53.8

Clearances

Willem2.3

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Willem3.4

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Willem6.8

RIC129.3

Goals

Willem0.8

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Handballs

166.9per game · league avg 155.5

#1 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At M.C.G.4.0(1)-3.6

Everywhere else7.6(16)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)10.0(1)+2.8

Dry games7.3(16)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.