Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Willem Duursma

West Coast · @ RIC

2.5 CLO —U —

Hit rate

41% (7/17)

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Avg

2.3

1.6

L10

2.4

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ RIC

Game conditionsM.C.G. · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 13:10☁ 15.6°C☂ 0mm (0%)🌬 19.6 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Willemvs all playersStatRIC concedePer game

18.0Disposals391.8

10.6Kicks224.9

4.4Marks107.6

3.6Tackles53.8

2.3Clearances33.7

3.4Inside 50s56.5

6.8Contested Poss.129.3

0.8Goals15.3

Disposals

Willem18.0

RIC391.8

Kicks

Willem10.6

RIC224.9

Marks

Willem4.4

RIC107.6

Tackles

Willem3.6

RIC53.8

Clearances

Willem2.3

RIC33.7

Inside 50s

Willem3.4

RIC56.5

Contested Poss.

Willem6.8

RIC129.3

Goals

Willem0.8

RIC15.3

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

RIC concede · Clearances

33.7per game · league avg 35.7

#14 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Clearances

At M.C.G.3.0(1)+0.8

Everywhere else2.3(16)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Clearances

Wet games (≥1mm)4.0(1)+1.8

Dry games2.2(16)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.