Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 3 days ago

Heath Chapman

Fremantle · vs WBD

2.5 TKO —U —

Hit rate

39% (7/18)

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Avg

2.1

3.0

L10

2.5

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs WBD

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Game conditionsPerth Stadium · PerthRound 21 · 2026-07-31 20:10☁ 14.4°C☂ 0.6mm (42%)🌬 4.9 km/hClear

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Heathvs all playersStatWBD concedePer game

15.6Disposals388.2

9.4Kicks229.6

5.3Marks106.7

2.1Tackles61.2

0.3Clearances35.7

1.7Inside 50s54.1

3.6Contested Poss.132.4

0.1Goals12.6

Disposals

Heath15.6

WBD388.2

Kicks

Heath9.4

WBD229.6

Marks

Heath5.3

WBD106.7

Tackles

Heath2.1

WBD61.2

Clearances

Heath0.3

WBD35.7

Inside 50s

Heath1.7

WBD54.1

Contested Poss.

Heath3.6

WBD132.4

Goals

Heath0.1

WBD12.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

WBD concede · Tackles

61.2per game · league avg 56.9

#4 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Tackles

At Perth Stadium2.1(47)+0.4

Everywhere else1.8(36)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)2.3(6)+0.4

Dry games1.9(77)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.