P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Ben Keays
Ben Keays
Adelaide · @ ESS
2.5 MKO U
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
2.8
L5
3.2
L10
2.8
High
8
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
4COLMar 145WBDMar 202GEEMar 261FREApr 032CARApr 091STKApr 182BRIApr 266PORMay 015RICMay 103NORMay 160HAWMay 212GEEJun 042WBDJun 114MELJun 201PORJun 278WCEJul 031GCSJul 112SYDJul 17?ESSAug 022.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ben15.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ben8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Ben2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ben3.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ben0.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ben2.6
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Ben5.8
ESS121.4
Goals
Ben1.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Marks

116.9per game · league avg 93.0
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Marks

At Docklands4.5(13)+1.2
Everywhere else3.3(136)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Marks

Wet games (≥1mm)2.6(12)-0.9
Dry games3.5(137)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.