P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Ben Keays
Ben Keays
Adelaide · @ ESS
8.5 KIO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
8.4
L5
7.2
L10
8.4
High
12
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
11COLMar 147WBDMar 207GEEMar 268FREApr 0312CARApr 098STKApr 185BRIApr 2610PORMay 019RICMay 109NORMay 168HAWMay 2112GEEJun 0410WBDJun 118MELJun 207PORJun 276WCEJul 039GCSJul 116SYDJul 17?ESSAug 028.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ben15.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ben8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Ben2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ben3.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ben0.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ben2.6
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Ben5.8
ESS121.4
Goals
Ben1.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Kicks

232.6per game · league avg 213.8
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Kicks

At Docklands12.9(13)+2.0
Everywhere else10.9(136)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Kicks

Wet games (≥1mm)11.7(12)+0.6
Dry games11.1(137)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.