P
Current to Round 20, 2 days ago
Ben Keays
Ben Keays
Adelaide · @ ESS
1.5 GLO —U —
Hit rate
39% (7/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
1.4
L10
1.3
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 140WBDMar 200GEEMar 260FREApr 033CARApr 092STKApr 181BRIApr 263PORMay 011RICMay 102NORMay 16☂0HAWMay 212GEEJun 041WBDJun 111MELJun 201PORJun 273WCEJul 032GCSJul 110SYDJul 17?ESSAug 021.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ben15.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ben8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Ben2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ben3.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ben0.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ben2.6
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Ben5.8
ESS121.4
Goals
Ben1.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Goals

15.0per game · league avg 12.7
#2 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Goals

At Docklands1.4(13)+0.5
Everywhere else0.9(136)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goals

Wet games (≥1mm)1.3(12)+0.4
Dry games0.9(137)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.