P
Current to Round 20, yesterday
Ben Keays
Ben Keays
Adelaide · @ ESS
15.5 DIO U
Hit rate
44% (8/18)
enter odds to compare
Avg
15.2
L5
14.6
L10
15.5
High
23
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
13COLMar 1415WBDMar 2015GEEMar 2615FREApr 0316CARApr 0910STKApr 1816BRIApr 2618PORMay 0115RICMay 1017NORMay 1611HAWMay 2116GEEJun 0423WBDJun 1115MELJun 2011PORJun 2713WCEJul 0318GCSJul 1116SYDJul 17?ESSAug 0215.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ ESS
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Ben15.2
ESS398.8
Kicks
Ben8.4
ESS232.6
Marks
Ben2.8
ESS116.9
Tackles
Ben3.1
ESS50.5
Clearances
Ben0.9
ESS33.3
Inside 50s
Ben2.6
ESS55.1
Contested Poss.
Ben5.8
ESS121.4
Goals
Ben1.3
ESS15.0

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ESS concede · Disposals

398.8per game · league avg 369.3
#1 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands23.9(13)+4.3
Everywhere else19.6(136)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)19.3(12)-0.8
Dry games20.0(137)
Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.