Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

SYD

Malcolm Rosas

Sydney · @ STK

3.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (7/14)

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Avg

3.6

2.6

L10

3.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Malcolmvs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

9.1Disposals379.3

5.5Kicks220.4

1.4Marks100.9

2.7Tackles50.0

0.7Clearances34.4

1.9Inside 50s52.1

4.3Contested Poss.123.7

1.1Goals12.4

Disposals

Malcolm9.1

STK379.3

Kicks

Malcolm5.5

STK220.4

Marks

Malcolm1.4

STK100.9

Tackles

Malcolm2.7

STK50.0

Clearances

Malcolm0.7

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Malcolm1.9

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Malcolm4.3

STK123.7

Goals

Malcolm1.1

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Handballs

158.9per game · league avg 155.5

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands4.5(2)+1.0

Everywhere else3.5(12)

Only 2 games at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games3.6(14)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.