Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Charlie Curnow

Sydney · @ STK

11.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

47% (8/17)

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Avg

11.5

12.0

L10

12.0

High

← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering

Line Over Under

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for Round 21 @ STK

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Charlievs all playersStatSTK concedePer game

11.5Disposals379.3

9.4Kicks220.4

4.9Marks100.9

1.0Tackles50.0

0.1Clearances34.4

2.1Inside 50s52.1

6.4Contested Poss.123.7

2.9Goals12.4

Disposals

Charlie11.5

STK379.3

Kicks

Charlie9.4

STK220.4

Marks

Charlie4.9

STK100.9

Tackles

Charlie1.0

STK50.0

Clearances

Charlie0.1

STK34.4

Inside 50s

Charlie2.1

STK52.1

Contested Poss.

Charlie6.4

STK123.7

Goals

Charlie2.9

STK12.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

STK concede · Disposals

379.3per game · league avg 369.3

#6 of 18 most conceded

They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands15.0(1)+3.7

Everywhere else11.3(16)

Only 1 game at this ground — thin evidence.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)—(0)

Dry games11.5(17)

Only 0 wet games on record — thin evidence.