Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Peter Wright

Essendon · vs ADE

0.5 GAO —U —

Hit rate

31% (4/13)

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Avg

0.3

0.4

L10

0.3

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Petervs all playersStatADE concedePer game

12.5Disposals356.6

7.4Kicks210.2

4.2Marks80.6

1.6Tackles60.7

1.5Clearances39.3

1.1Inside 50s52.4

6.0Contested Poss.138.8

1.2Goals11.1

Disposals

Peter12.5

ADE356.6

Kicks

Peter7.4

ADE210.2

Marks

Peter4.2

ADE80.6

Tackles

Peter1.6

ADE60.7

Clearances

Peter1.5

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Peter1.1

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Peter6.0

ADE138.8

Goals

Peter1.2

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Goal Assists

7.6per game · league avg 9.3

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Goal Assists

At Docklands0.4(36)

Everywhere else0.4(63)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Goal Assists

Wet games (≥1mm)0.2(10)-0.2

Dry games0.4(89)

Weather backfilled from station data at each venue.