AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Flanders
Sam Flanders
St Kilda · @ NOR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
42% (5/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.3
L5
1.0
L10
1.4
High
3
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 081MELMar 153GWSMar 212BRIMar 282PORApr 122ADEApr 180WCEApr 261CARMay 021GCSMay 091RICMay 172FREMay 220HAWMay 28?NORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam23.2
NOR340.7
Kicks
Sam12.8
NOR197.6
Marks
Sam5.6
NOR90.7
Tackles
Sam3.8
NOR54.6
Clearances
Sam2.2
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Sam3.3
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Sam6.2
NOR119.2
Goals
Sam0.1
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands0.8(5)-0.9
Everywhere else1.7(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-0.4
Dry games1.4(11)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.