AFL
PProjectPunt
Sam Flanders
Sam Flanders
St Kilda · @ NOR
23.5 DIO U
Hit rate
50% (6/12)
enter odds to compare
Avg
23.2
L5
21.6
L10
22.2
High
30
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
28COLMar 0828MELMar 1523GWSMar 2122BRIMar 2818PORApr 1230ADEApr 1821WCEApr 2618CARMay 0228GCSMay 0928RICMay 1725FREMay 229HAWMay 28?NORJul 2623.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Sam23.2
NOR340.7
Kicks
Sam12.8
NOR197.6
Marks
Sam5.6
NOR90.7
Tackles
Sam3.8
NOR54.6
Clearances
Sam2.2
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Sam3.3
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Sam6.2
NOR119.2
Goals
Sam0.1
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Disposals

340.7per game · league avg 369.3
#18 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands19.6(5)-6.1
Everywhere else25.7(7)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)28.0(1)+5.3
Dry games22.7(11)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.