Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, 2 days ago

Elijah Tsatas

Essendon · vs ADE

13.5 HBO —U —

Hit rate

50% (3/6)

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Avg

13.7

13.0

L10

13.7

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs ADE

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-02 16:40Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Elijahvs all playersStatADE concedePer game

24.2Disposals356.6

10.5Kicks210.2

4.3Marks80.6

1.5Tackles60.7

4.3Clearances39.3

3.2Inside 50s52.4

8.8Contested Poss.138.8

0.2Goals11.1

Disposals

Elijah24.2

ADE356.6

Kicks

Elijah10.5

ADE210.2

Marks

Elijah4.3

ADE80.6

Tackles

Elijah1.5

ADE60.7

Clearances

Elijah4.3

ADE39.3

Inside 50s

Elijah3.2

ADE52.4

Contested Poss.

Elijah8.8

ADE138.8

Goals

Elijah0.2

ADE11.1

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

ADE concede · Handballs

146.3per game · league avg 155.5

#16 of 18 most conceded

Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Handballs

At Docklands9.0(4)+0.3

Everywhere else8.7(18)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Handballs

Wet games (≥1mm)12.0(2)+3.6

Dry games8.4(20)

Only 2 wet games on record — thin evidence.