AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom De Koning
Tom De Koning
St Kilda · @ NOR
1.5 TKO U
Hit rate
40% (6/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.6
L5
2.4
L10
1.7
High
4
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
1COLMar 083MELMar 151GWSMar 210BRIMar 282PORApr 120ADEApr 182WCEApr 261CARMay 021GCSMay 091RICMay 174FREMay 223HAWMay 283SYDJun 071GWSJun 141WBDJun 21?NORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom12.7
NOR340.7
Kicks
Tom6.1
NOR197.6
Marks
Tom3.2
NOR90.7
Tackles
Tom1.6
NOR54.6
Clearances
Tom2.8
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Tom2.3
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Tom7.1
NOR119.2
Goals
Tom0.7
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Tackles

54.6per game · league avg 56.9
#13 of 18 most conceded
Stingy against this stat — the over fights uphill.

Venue split · Tackles

At Docklands1.3(7)-0.6
Everywhere else1.9(8)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Tackles

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-0.6
Dry games1.6(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.