AFL
PProjectPunt
Tom De Koning
Tom De Koning
St Kilda · @ NOR
1.5 FFO U
Hit rate
33% (5/15)
enter odds to compare
Avg
1.1
L5
0.8
L10
1.0
High
2
← the line Sportsbet/TAB is offering
2COLMar 081MELMar 151GWSMar 212BRIMar 280PORApr 121ADEApr 180WCEApr 262CARMay 022GCSMay 091RICMay 171FREMay 222HAWMay 281SYDJun 070GWSJun 140WBDJun 21?NORJul 261.5
Line Over Under

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for Round 20 @ NOR
Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 20 · 2026-07-26 15:15Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly
Disposals
Tom12.7
NOR340.7
Kicks
Tom6.1
NOR197.6
Marks
Tom3.2
NOR90.7
Tackles
Tom1.6
NOR54.6
Clearances
Tom2.8
NOR33.9
Inside 50s
Tom2.3
NOR52.3
Contested poss.
Tom7.1
NOR119.2
Goals
Tom0.7
NOR13.4

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

NOR concede · Frees For

20.8per game · league avg 19.0
#3 of 18 most conceded
They leak this stat — friendly matchup for the over.

Venue split · Frees For

At Docklands1.0(7)-0.1
Everywhere else1.1(8)
Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Frees For

Wet games (≥1mm)1.0(1)-0.1
Dry games1.1(14)
Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.