Project Punt — AFL & NRL props, checked

Current to Round 20, yesterday

Tom De Koning

St Kilda · vs SYD

12.5 DIO —U —

Hit rate

47% (7/15)

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Avg

12.7

11.6

L10

11.4

High

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Line Over Under

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for Round 21 vs SYD

Game conditionsDocklands · MelbourneRound 21 · 2026-08-01 13:05Roof — weather neutral

Matchup Analyser

Percentile rankings · 2026

higher = more over-friendly

Tomvs all playersStatSYD concedePer game

12.7Disposals365.6

6.1Kicks210.9

3.2Marks80.8

1.6Tackles54.6

2.8Clearances38.8

2.3Inside 50s55.2

7.1Contested Poss.139.3

0.7Goals11.6

Disposals

Tom12.7

SYD365.6

Kicks

Tom6.1

SYD210.9

Marks

Tom3.2

SYD80.8

Tackles

Tom1.6

SYD54.6

Clearances

Tom2.8

SYD38.8

Inside 50s

Tom2.3

SYD55.2

Contested Poss.

Tom7.1

SYD139.3

Goals

Tom0.7

SYD11.6

Player percentile is among everyone with 5+ games this season. Opponent percentile is among the 18 clubs — p100 means they concede more of this stat than any other side.

SYD concede · Disposals

365.6per game · league avg 369.3

#10 of 18 most conceded

Middle of the road matchup.

Venue split · Disposals

At Docklands11.6(7)-2.1

Everywhere else13.6(8)

Since 2024, all stats real.

Wet vs dry · Disposals

Wet games (≥1mm)15.0(1)+2.5

Dry games12.5(14)

Only 1 wet game on record — thin evidence.